» » Democrat's Top Pollster Sees Trump’s Path To Victory Starting in These Three States.

Democrat's Top Pollster Sees Trump’s Path To Victory Starting in These Three States.

PJ Media: Nate Silver Sees Trump's Path to Victory Starting in These Three States 

Over at Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog, Joe Biden has an 89% chance of winning the election, while Trump’s chances are just 10 in a 100. 

 Ah, but there’s a catch. 

If you’re skeptical of polling (like I am) and have been looking at other factors in assessing the likely outcome (like I have) then when you look at his map, you see quite a few states listed as toss-ups that Trump is actually likely to win. In fact, Nate Silver himself notes that if Trump wins Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina (all states I expect him to win) Trump’s chances are basically 50/50. 

Read more .... 

WNU Editor: This is where it gets interesting .... Playing with FiveThirtyEight’s map tool further, if you add Arizona into Trump’s column, Trump has a 60/40 chance of winning the election. Add Ohio, it goes up to 90/10. 

Will Joe Biden win Ohio, Arizona, etc.? Nate Silver says yes. I do not know where Nate Silver is getting his information, but my gut is saying no. 


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