What Will Russia Do Next In Syria?

Russia's Mariinsky Theatre orchestra performs at the amphitheatre in the Syria's historic city of Palmyra [Reuters]

James Denselow, Al Jazeera: Where next for Russia in Syria?

Russia has been able to call the shots because no other global power is willing to put as many chips on the table.

A good means of predicting what Moscow's next steps in the Syria conflict is to listen to what Russian political and military leaders say and prepare for the opposite. While other actors on this most bloody of stages have been characterised by their preference for short-term tactics, the Russians have long had a strategy for their involvement in the country.

Moscow's strategy is born of its historic relationship with the Assad regime and its priorities for the future of a fast-changing Middle East. What is more, this is largely unchallenged and unaccountable.

Putin is aware that after five years of bloodshed in Syria what is and isn't happening on the ground at a granular level is an unknown to all but the most ardent observers. Into this swirling fog of war the Russians have decided to paint their own narrative, realising that by controlling and sticking to consistent lines they can both write the first draft of history while affecting the actions of others.

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WNU editor: I have always found the Russian position on Syria to be consistent .... support the Assad regime. Now .... the situation on the ground is changing, and I suspect that the Russians are now wondering if they can successfully assist the Assad regime in routing rebel forces near Damascus and Aleppo .... and beyond. My prediction .... they are going to make that commitment of manpower and resources .... and I think that decision on when to strike is going to be made in the next few weeks if not sooner .... Russia says holding off air strikes on Nusra Front in Syria. (Reuters).

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