A sailor aboard US Navy guided-missile destroyer USS Spruance investigates a contact during a Taiwan Strait transit, March 1, 2014. US Navy/Lt. j.g. John Horne
Business Insider: Fears of a Chinese attack on Taiwan are growing, and Taiwan isn't sure who would help if it happened
* China has been expanding its influence and taking a more aggressive posture toward Taiwan.
* That has raised concerns that Beijing will attempt to retake the island by force.
* Whether the US and other countries would help, and what help they would offer, remains in doubt.
Twenty-five years ago, two US Navy carrier strike groups were enough to deter possible Chinese military action against Taiwan after China launched missiles that landed a few dozen miles off its coast.
Now, after a massive modernization effort by China's military, known as the People's Liberation Army, or PLA, two carrier strike groups, and possibly US forces alone, may not be enough.
This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear if it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes.
In March, Adm. Philip Davidson, then head of US Indo-Pacific Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee that China could invade Taiwan in the next six years.
A few days later, Adm. John Aquilino, Davidson's successor, declined to comment on that assessment but said that China views Taiwan "as their No. 1 priority" and that, in his opinion, "this problem is much closer to us than most think."
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WNU Editor: There are only two countries that can make a difference in such a scenario. The U.S. and Japan. Unfortunately .... U.S. policy under the Biden administration has been opaque, but they are still selling arms to Taiwan. But it looks like Japan has made the decision to get more committed and involved in the defense of Taiwan .... It’s Getting More Likely The Japanese Would Fight For Taiwan (Forbes).
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