What if Putin Didn’t Miscalculate?

© Alexei Nikolsky/Russian Presidential Press and Information Office/TASS  

New York Times: What if Putin Didn’t Miscalculate? 

The conventional wisdom is that Vladimir Putin catastrophically miscalculated. 

He thought Russian-speaking Ukrainians would welcome his troops. They didn’t. He thought he’d swiftly depose Volodymyr Zelensky’s government. He hasn’t. He thought he’d divide NATO. He’s united it. He thought he had sanction-proofed his economy. He’s wrecked it. He thought the Chinese would help him out. They’re hedging their bets. He thought his modernized military would make mincemeat of Ukrainian forces. The Ukrainians are making mincemeat of his, at least on some fronts.  

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WNU Editor: What if the conventional wisdom is wrong? What if the West is only playing into Putin’s hands once again? 

I do not know the answer. 

But I do know that a lot of things happen in war, and it is too soon to judge if Putin is playing a winning hand.



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