Forces loyal to Syria's President Bashar al-Assad flash victory signs and carry a Syrian national flag on the edge of the historic city of Palmyra in this handout picture provided by SANA on March 26, 2016. REUTERS/SANA/Handout via Reuters
The pendulum swing of military advantage in Syria is well-illustrated by the contrasting fortunes of the Syrian government forces in Aleppo and Palmyra.
In Aleppo the pro-regime offensive is continuing to squeeze rebel fighters into a smaller and smaller sector of the eastern part of the city.
Most commentators believe it is only a matter of time before the rebels lose their foot-hold entirely; either due to a final government offensive or through some kind of negotiated withdrawal to try to bring a respite to the remaining civilians there.
But in Palmyra, far to the south-east of Aleppo, it is so-called Islamic State that is on the offensive.
Over the weekend a force of some 4,000 fighters retook the city centre despite significant efforts by Russian air power to forestall their advance.
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WNU Editor: This BBC commentator is using the website Bellingcat (a website that I do not trust) in verifying some of his conclusions on how fragmented the Syrian Army is. But having said that it is true that the fall of Palmyra has exposed some of the weaknesses of the Syrian army .... the primary one being that they are now stretched thin after 5 years of war. And even if Aleppo falls .... one has to wonder if the Syrian army is capable of holding this territory without the support of Russia/Iran/and Hezbollah. If I was to hazard a guess .... I would say that this war has hallowed out the Syrian army, and the only reason why they not losing is due to the presence of these pro-government militias ... and the simple fact that the rebel armies that are aligned against them are probably in even worse shape than the Syrian Army.
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