Imperial College London Model Predicts U.S. Death Toll Will Triple In Next Two Months To 288,000

The chart above shows the Imperial estimates of viral reproduction rate for each state, with those under 1 in green and those above 1 in magenta

Daily Mail: Coronavirus is still spreading 'uncontrolled' in 24 US states and death toll will triple in next two months to 288,000, Imperial College London model claims

* Imperial College London statistical model claims to show transmission rates
* Claims that viral reproduction rate, or R0, is greater than 1 in 24 US states
* Predicts that death toll will triple in next two months, to 288,000
* Imperial College previously predicted 2.2 million US deaths in the epidemic
* But came under fire from experts for shoddy code and dubious methods
* Latest model is co-authored by disgraced Professor Neil Ferguson
* Ferguson disregarded lockdown rules he lobbied for to meet his married lover

A new statistical model from Imperial College London has claimed to show that coronavirus continues to spread 'uncontrolled' in 24 U.S. states, and predicts the U.S. death toll will triple in the next two months.

The study published on Thursday, which has not been peer reviewed, uses mobility data and case information to estimate the reproduction rate of the virus, or how many other people are infected by the average case.

A reproduction rate, or R0, of less than 1 indicates that the virus is in decline and will eventually die out. A rate higher than 1 means each case will infect more than one other person on average, and is considered 'uncontrolled'.

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WNU Editor: The report is here .... Report23:State-leveltrackingofCOVID-19intheUnitedStates (Imperial College London).

More News On Imperial College Of London's Latest Model Predicting The U.S. Death Toll Will Triple In The Next Two Months To 288,000

Study estimates 24 states still have uncontrolled coronavirus spread -- Washington Post
Potential US COVID-19 resurgence modelled as lockdowns ease -- Imperial College London
Nearly half of US states haven't contained their coronavirus outbreaks, a new study finds -- Business Insider

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