Can Regime Change In North Korea make The Situation Worse?

US intelligence assessments say Pyongyang still faces hurdles in creating a nuclear capable missile [Reuters]

Richard Sokolsky & Aaron David Miller, RCD/38 North: Regime Change in North Korea: Be Careful What You Wish For

Is the Trump administration seriously contemplating changing the regime in North Korea? Frankly, the signals are mixed. Ten days ago, at the Aspen Security Forum, CIA Director Mike Pompeo intimated as much, saying that he and other senior officials were ordered by President Trump to find a way to “separate the North Korean regime from its missiles and nuclear weapons.” And indeed, only a few days ago, Vice President Mike Pence said that “all options are on the table” in countering the North Korean threat. But only yesterday, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson declared, “We do not seek a regime change, we do not seek a collapse of the regime, we do not seek an accelerated reunification of the peninsula, we do not seek an excuse to send our military north of the 38th Parallel.” Perhaps this ambivalence and confusion reflects a healthy debate on North Korea policy within the administration. We hope so.

Of course, North Korea is a dangerous regime. It starves, tortures, jails and kills scores of innocent citizens. Its growing nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities threaten US forces in the Asia Pacific region and our allies, and soon they will be able to hit targets in the United States.

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WNU Editor: The above 38 North analysis is probably already dated. The authors mention that South Korean leader Monn Jae-in is deeply interested in engaging the North Korean regime .... that may have been true a few weeks ago, but after North Korea's decision to ignore South Korea's outreach .... North Korea Snubs South Korean Outreach (VOA), the mood has changed in Seoul. The door will still be open .... Seoul to leave door open for silent Pyongyang on dialogue offer (Arirang), but the South Koreans are already signalling a new approach, and are being very open about it .... Is South Korea Planning A 'Surgical Strike' To Take Out Kim Jong-Un's Missile And Nuclear Facilities? (August 1, 2017). Bottom line .... the U.S., China, Japan, Russia, the international community .... everyone has a say and opinion on what needs to be done. but in the end it will be the Koreans themselves who will decide where this will go .... for better or worse.

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