WNU Editor: The above analysis is right. Azerbaijan did surprise Armenia with their offensive to seize Nagorno-Karabakh. Azerbaijan's military is also better equipped and supported, and if reports that Turkey is actively and directly supporting Azerbaijan are true, Armenia is in a losing position. Targeting Azerbaijan's oil and gas infrastructure is going to get everyone's attention, Moscow's included. My prediction. Moscow has no desire to get involved in this war. They are going to let it burn for a few more weeks. As for Azerbaijan. They now have a choice. Escalate and continue the war knowing too well that they gas and oil infrastructure are now primary targets. to put it bluntly. Its destruction will set back Azerbaijan's finances and economy for years.Fantastic map from @LukeDCoffey. Armenia is losing in Nagorno-Karabakh, so why did it escalate? My guess: it hopes to throw Azerbaijan off of its game, which is a patient war of attrition based on drones, not ground maneuver; and it hopes to trigger Russian intervention. https://t.co/bPZACFqoMb
— Fiery but peaceful Mike (@Doranimated) October 4, 2020
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